Mathematics · Probability and Decision Making
MR can choose from three mutually exclusive projects whose net cash flows depend on market demand. All projects last for only one year. The forecast net cash flows and their probabilities are given below: Market DemandWeak (p=0.30)Average (p=0.50)Good (p=0.20)Project A400500600Project B300350400Project C500450650 MR can commission a forecast that would tell it with certainty what demand conditions will be before making the decision. What is the maximum amount (Value of Perfect Information) that MR should pay for the forecast?
- 1$0
- 2$25✓
- 3$505
- 4$530
Correct answer
$25
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