Mathematics · Pedagogy of Mathematics
Four students made the following statements after studying the concept of probability. Though no statement is fully mathematically accurate, which student demonstrates the MOST conceptual clarity regarding the probabilistic nature of uncertain events?
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- 1I don't know what scores I will get in the exam tomorrow. Assuming passing and failing are the outcomes under uncertainty, the probability of my passing the exam is 50%.✓
- 2Since petrol prices have been increasing for the last one year, the probability of them increasing further is 100%.
- 3I am sure my favourite team will win tomorrow's match. So probability is not relevant here.
- 4I don't know if it will rain tomorrow or not. So the probability of raining is 0.
Correct answer
I don't know what scores I will get in the exam tomorrow. Assuming passing and failing are the outcomes under uncertainty, the probability of my passing the exam is 50%.
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