Economics · Macroeconomics
According to the Lucas Critique, which of the following is a central argument regarding macroeconometric models for policy evaluation?
- 1The structural stability of parameters/coefficients in a model depends on the policy regime itself, making them unreliable for predicting the effects of alternative policies.✓
- 2Traditional Keynesian models correctly evaluate the structural changes caused by changing policy rules.
- 3Drifting and unstable coefficients make traditional macroeconometric models more reliable.
- 4It assumes monetary policy is non-neutral with respect to real variables in the long run.
Correct answer
The structural stability of parameters/coefficients in a model depends on the policy regime itself, making them unreliable for predicting the effects of alternative policies.
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