Education · Pedagogy and Teaching Methodology
A team of students runs a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast stock volatility. The simulation consistently produces results that widely miss the actual market data. In an experiential learning framework, the most valuable immediate action for the students is to:
- 1Focus exclusively on the one trial run that came closest to the actual data
- 2Simply run the simulation 100 more times hoping for a better result
- 3Critically reflect on the initial assumptions and input parameters of their model to identify the source of the error✓
- 4Give up on the simulation and use the textbook's pre-calculated answers
Correct answer
Critically reflect on the initial assumptions and input parameters of their model to identify the source of the error
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